Sam Darnold Deal Possible In Minnesota; Franchise Tag Unlikely

ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler made an appearance on SportsCenter today and provided an intriguing update on the ongoing situation involving free agent quarterback Sam Darnold. While there has been speculation that Darnold could be a candidate for the franchise tag, Fowler’s latest report suggests that this option is unlikely for the Minnesota Vikings.
Under the current NFL rules, franchise tag values are determined based on the average salaries of top players at each position. In the case of quarterbacks, the projected cost for the 2025 season stands at approximately $42.39 million. Given this steep price, Minnesota’s front office appears reluctant to commit such a significant financial sum to retain Darnold, despite his impressive performance last season when he led the team to a 14-3 record. According to Fowler, the Vikings’ stance is clear: they are unwilling to “mortgage their future” by locking themselves into an expensive one-year deal for the 27-year-old signal-caller.
That said, this does not necessarily mean that the Vikings are closing the door on bringing Darnold back for another season. Instead, the team is reportedly open to negotiations if a more reasonable contract agreement can be reached. Fowler indicates that if Darnold receives a lucrative offer from another team in free agency, Minnesota will likely allow him to walk. However, if his market value remains moderate, there is a possibility that he could return under a new contract that aligns better with the team’s long-term plans.
The broader implication of this report is that Minnesota’s future at the quarterback position remains firmly centered around last year’s first-round pick, J.J. McCarthy. The No. 10 overall selection in the 2024 NFL Draft was expected to spend his rookie season developing behind the scenes, but a fully torn meniscus in his right knee derailed any chance of him taking the field. Although there is no definitive timetable for his return, the expectation within the organization is that, whether it takes six, 12, or even 18 months, McCarthy will eventually take over as the team’s franchise quarterback. If a different quarterback is starting for the Vikings in 2025, the assumption is that they would merely serve as a placeholder until McCarthy is fully ready to step into the starting role.
This philosophy explains the Vikings’ approach to Darnold’s contract situation. While they would be happy to have him back following his breakout season, a contract in the range of $40 million per year would be excessive for a quarterback viewed primarily as a bridge option. In this context, Fowler mentioned another intriguing possibility: Daniel Jones. The veteran quarterback spent the final six weeks of last season in Minnesota after being waived by the New York Giants. His familiarity with the system could make him a more practical, cost-effective short-term solution if the Vikings are indeed looking for a one-year starter until McCarthy is ready to take over.
The potential involvement of Jones in this quarterback puzzle adds another layer to Minnesota’s strategy. While he had an inconsistent tenure with the Giants, Jones has shown flashes of strong play, particularly in situations where he has a solid supporting cast around him. His athleticism, mobility, and ability to make plays outside the pocket could complement Minnesota’s offensive scheme, giving them a reliable option who won’t command the same financial commitment as Darnold. Additionally, Jones’ experience in the NFL could provide a valuable mentorship presence for McCarthy as he continues his recovery and development.
Ultimately, Darnold’s future in Minnesota will likely hinge on how the quarterback market develops in free agency. If demand for his services drives up his asking price significantly, the Vikings are expected to move on and seek a more affordable alternative. However, if his market proves less competitive than anticipated, the possibility of a reunion on a reasonable deal remains on the table. Either way, the Vikings appear committed to a long-term plan that revolves around J.J. McCarthy, with a placeholder—whether it be Darnold, Jones, or another veteran—filling the gap until the young quarterback is fully prepared to take over the reins in Minnesota.
Looking at the broader landscape of the league, the Vikings’ measured approach to the quarterback position is reflective of the evolving philosophy among NFL franchises. More teams are recognizing the value of balancing financial responsibility with roster development, ensuring that they do not overcommit resources to a position in transition. The case of Darnold is an example of this trend—despite his strong performance last season, Minnesota is unwilling to jeopardize their financial flexibility on a player who may not be their long-term solution.
Additionally, the team’s cautious approach speaks to their confidence in McCarthy’s potential. The former Michigan standout was highly regarded for his poise, leadership, and accuracy during his college career, and the Vikings appear willing to exercise patience in his development. If McCarthy can live up to expectations, he could become the franchise’s cornerstone for years to come, making the decision to pass on an expensive Darnold contract even more justified.
As the free agency period unfolds, all eyes will be on Minnesota’s quarterback situation. The decision they make in the coming weeks will shape the team’s trajectory for the next several seasons. Whether they choose to retain Darnold on a team-friendly deal, pivot to Jones or another stopgap option, or fully commit to McCarthy as soon as he is ready, the Vikings’ approach will be a fascinating storyline to follow. What remains certain is that the team is prioritizing long-term stability over short-term convenience, a strategy that could pay significant dividends in the years ahead.

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