Supercomputer Predicts 2025-26 Premier League Table in Full

With the 2025/26 campaign entering its decisive final stretch, the race for positions across the Premier League table is becoming increasingly intense. As teams battle for titles, European qualification, and survival, a powerful forecasting model has now delivered an updated projection of how the season could ultimately conclude. Using data analysis and simulations based on current results and the remaining fixture list, the predictions – compiled with assistance from Opta – attempt to determine which clubs will celebrate success and which could be left facing disappointment.

Last season provided a reminder that expectations do not always match reality. Many observers predicted that Manchester City would once again dominate the English top flight, but it was actually Liverpool who stormed to the title. Under the leadership of Arne Slot, the Reds cruised to their 20th English league championship, reclaiming their place as the most decorated club in English league history.

Behind them, Arsenal continued a frustrating trend by finishing as runners-up for the third consecutive season, while Pep Guardiola guided Manchester City to third place after a strong finish to the campaign. There were also several surprising storylines. Nottingham Forest shocked many by securing European qualification, while traditional giants Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester United endured historically poor seasons in the modern Premier League era.

While those events remain fresh in memory, football never stands still. With the current season approaching its climax, the supercomputer has run thousands of simulations to predict how the rest of the campaign may unfold.

Relegation Battle Intensifies

One notable trend that could finally be broken this season concerns newly promoted clubs. In both the 2023/24 and 2024/25 campaigns, all three promoted sides were immediately relegated back to the EFL Championship. However, according to the latest projections, that pattern may not repeat this year.

Both Sunderland and Leeds United are predicted to do enough to remain in the top flight. The same cannot be said for Burnley, who are forecast to endure an immediate return to the second tier under manager Scott Parker.

The Clarets have struggled badly in recent weeks, winning just one of their last eight league matches – a narrow 3-2 victory against Crystal Palace. Based on current form, projections suggest Burnley could finish with roughly 27 points, a tally that would almost certainly condemn them to relegation.

Joining them in the bottom three could be West Ham United. Although the Hammers have shown flashes of improvement – recording wins over Burnley, Sunderland, Tottenham, and Fulham – the simulations still place them 18th with around 38 points.

Meanwhile, Wolverhampton Wanderers appear likely to spend the majority of the season rooted to the foot of the table. Their campaign began disastrously, with the team failing to secure a win until their 20th league match. Despite recent morale-boosting victories against Aston Villa and Liverpool, the early damage may prove impossible to undo.

Elsewhere in the lower half, Leeds United could still find themselves dragged into the survival fight, though the model predicts they will narrowly avoid the drop by finishing 15th. That position would leave them just above Nottingham Forest, who have endured a chaotic campaign that has already seen three managerial changes following the dismissal of Sean Dyche.

There are also growing concerns surrounding Tottenham Hotspur. After Ange Postecoglou delivered Tottenham Hotspur their long-awaited UEFA Europa League triumph in 2024/25, hopes were high that the club would build momentum. However, the managerial experiment with Thomas Frank ended prematurely, and new boss Igor Tudor has endured a worrying start, suffering defeats against Arsenal, Fulham, and Crystal Palace.

Middle-of-the-Table Outlook

In the mid-table picture, Crystal Palace are predicted to finish just below their regional rivals Brighton & Hove Albion. Palace made history last season by winning the FA Cup Final, their first major trophy, and they began the new campaign impressively by defeating Liverpool in both the FA Community Shield and a league encounter.

However, the club has since experienced turbulence. Captain Marc Guehi was sold to Manchester City, and manager Oliver Glasner has already confirmed he will depart once his contract expires.

Brighton, meanwhile, have quietly put together a respectable season under Fabian Hurzeler. Though they have attracted less attention compared to other surprise performers, a comfortable mid-table finish would represent a solid achievement.

For newly promoted Sunderland, survival alone would be considered a major success. In fact, the Black Cats have exceeded expectations and could even challenge for a top-half finish, although current projections place them around 12th.

Fulham, on the other hand, once again appear stuck in the familiar territory of mid-table stability. A run of victories over Sunderland and Tottenham briefly suggested they might push higher, but a disappointing home defeat to West Ham has dampened that momentum. As things stand, the supercomputer expects them to end the season in 11th place.

European Contenders and the Top Half

Further up the standings, Newcastle United have struggled with inconsistency. The Magpies have produced impressive wins against elite opponents like Manchester City, but also suffered damaging defeats – including a painful loss to Sunderland in the Tyne-Wear derby. That unpredictability is why they are currently projected to finish ninth.

Many supporters had tipped Everton to emerge as surprise challengers this season. With new American ownership, the move to a state-of-the-art stadium at Bramley-Moore Dock, and high-profile arrivals such as Jack Grealish, optimism was high around David Moyes’ rebuilding project. According to the predictions, Everton could finish eighth, marking a strong step forward.

Both Bournemouth and Brentford are also expected to remain competitive despite losing key players in recent transfer windows. Brentford in particular have had to cope with the departures of stars like Bryan Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa, as well as former manager Thomas Frank. Yet under Keith Andrews, the Bees continue to defy expectations and are projected to finish seventh.

The Race for Champions League Places

At the top end of the table, Chelsea remain something of an enigma under Liam Rosenior. Their performances have been promising at times, though inconsistent, leaving them projected for a sixth-place finish with an outside chance of sneaking into the UEFA Champions League spots.

For defending champions Liverpool, the second season of Arne Slot’s tenure has proven far more turbulent than the first. Despite strengthening their squad with big-money additions such as Alexander Isak and Florian Wirtz, the Reds have struggled to match last year’s dominant form. A top-five finish may ultimately represent the best achievable outcome.

Meanwhile, Manchester United have staged an unlikely revival. After Ruben Amorim was dismissed in January, former midfielder Michael Carrick stepped in and immediately improved results, winning six of his first seven matches. Victories over Manchester City and Arsenal have reignited hopes that United could return to the Champions League.

Aston Villa were once viewed as potential title outsiders, but a recent slump – including a defeat to Wolves and a heavy loss against Chelsea – has dragged them back into a fight simply to secure a top-four position.

Title Race: Arsenal vs Manchester City

At the very top, the title race remains fiercely contested. Manchester City are steadily closing the gap and, under Pep Guardiola, remain one of the most dangerous teams during the final months of a season. However, dropped points in matches such as a draw with Nottingham Forest could prove costly.

That leaves Arsenal as the current favourites according to the supercomputer’s projections. If Mikel Arteta can guide his side over the line, it would mark the end of a league title drought stretching back more than two decades.

Such a triumph would not only validate the long-term project Arteta has built in north London, but it could also signal the start of a new era for the Gunners. Many believe Arsenal possess the foundations for sustained success, and lifting the Premier League trophy could spark a domino effect that leads to even more silverware in the seasons ahead.

For the rest of the league, that possibility may be a worrying thought indeed.