Paul Merson predicts which three of five clubs will get Champions League on Sunday

Paul Merson Weighs in on Newcastle United and Champions League Race Ahead of Premier League Finale

As the Premier League season draws to a thrilling conclusion, all eyes turn to the final round of matches scheduled for Sunday. Among the most crucial fixtures is Newcastle United’s clash with Everton at St James’ Park, a match that could determine whether the Magpies secure a coveted Champions League spot. Football pundit and former Arsenal and England star Paul Merson has shared his thoughts ahead of this decisive weekend, offering predictions and analysis on Newcastle and the other teams still in the running for a top-five finish.

Newcastle United head into the final day having already played 47 matches across all competitions this season. Their campaign so far has produced 29 wins, six draws, and 12 defeats. While the club has endured its share of highs and lows, they now stand on the brink of a potential return to European football’s biggest stage. However, Merson has cautioned that the encounter with Everton may be trickier than it appears.

Speaking to Sportskeeda ahead of Sunday’s fixtures, Merson said:
“This is a dangerous game for Newcastle because Everton are one of those teams that never lie down. No matter how tough their season has been, they’re not a side that rolls over easily. They make you work for everything.”

Merson pointed to the potential absence of key striker Alexander Isak as a possible stumbling block for Eddie Howe’s men.
“If Isak isn’t fit to play, it becomes a real uphill task for Newcastle. Yes, they have home advantage, and the atmosphere at St James’ will be electric, but if it stays goalless for too long, Everton will begin to believe they can do more than just frustrate.”

The pundit also noted that while a draw might be enough for Newcastle to seal Champions League qualification, the team will be desperate to avoid leaving anything to chance.
“I think Newcastle will push for the win rather than sit back and hope for results elsewhere. It’s in their hands, and they’ll want to take control. I’m predicting a narrow victory—Newcastle 1, Everton 0.”

Isak’s Absence Not a Death Blow

While Merson is right to highlight Isak’s importance, Newcastle showed in their recent away match against Arsenal that they can compete without their star striker. Despite missing the Swede, the Magpies outplayed the Gunners for large portions of the game. They created several clear-cut chances and would likely have come away with more than just a point if not for Arsenal goalkeeper David Raya, who was deservedly named Man of the Match. Arsenal had very few genuine opportunities themselves, with Nick Pope making a spectacular save before being beaten by a long-range strike from Declan Rice.

Even though Isak hasn’t been at his best in recent weeks—possibly due to lingering injury issues—Newcastle have proven they’re far from a one-man team. They have shown attacking depth and diversity, especially at home.

Fortress St James’

The Magpies head into the Everton clash on a remarkable run of home form. They’ve won each of their last six Premier League matches at St James’ Park, scoring an impressive 20 goals in that stretch. Notably, only five of those goals were scored by Isak—three from open play and two from the penalty spot—while 15 were netted by other players. Goals from the likes of Sandro Tonali and Bruno Guimarães in the recent 2-0 win over Chelsea have highlighted the strength of Newcastle’s midfield and their ability to chip in offensively.

Defensive Concerns for Everton

While Everton have been largely defined by their defensive resilience this season—a trait that’s helped them avoid relegation yet again—they will be significantly weakened for the trip to the North East. Not only is club captain and veteran right-back Seamus Coleman ruled out, but their two first-choice centre-backs, James Tarkowski and Jarrad Branthwaite, are also unavailable due to injury. That leaves Sean Dyche with major problems at the back, and against a high-pressing Newcastle side that likes to strike early, it could be a recipe for trouble.

Eddie Howe is expected to have his side on the front foot from the opening whistle. The aim will be to break through early, seize the momentum, and avoid giving Everton any sniff of an upset.

Contrasting Motivations

Everton, having already secured their Premier League safety and won an emotional final game at Goodison Park, may approach this fixture with a sense of closure. Newcastle, on the other hand, have unfinished business. A win on Sunday would not only secure them a top-five finish, but also cap off an incredible season that’s already seen them lift their first trophy in 56 years. The lure of Champions League football is a powerful motivator, and it’s likely to be reflected in the Magpies’ intensity and focus.

Merson’s Predictions Across the Board

Looking beyond Newcastle’s clash, Merson has also offered his predictions for the other key games involving Champions League hopefuls. Here’s how he sees things unfolding:

Fulham 0–1 Manchester City
Manchester United 0–2 Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest 1–0 Chelsea

If these results come to pass, the final Premier League standings from third to seventh would be:

Manchester City – 71 points (Goal Difference +27)
Newcastle United – 69 points (GD +23)
Aston Villa – 69 points (GD +11)
Nottingham Forest – 68 points (GD +14)
Chelsea – 66 points (GD +19)

In this scenario, Merson sees Manchester City, Newcastle, and Aston Villa grabbing the three remaining Champions League spots, while Nottingham Forest and Chelsea would narrowly miss out.

Final Thoughts

With so much riding on the final day, Newcastle fans will be hoping their team can rise to the occasion one more time. Home form, team depth, and motivation are all on their side. If Paul Merson’s prediction proves accurate, St James’ Park could be celebrating long into Sunday night as Champions League football returns to Tyneside.